The western world is responding to the war launched by Russia with tough sanctions. This includes sanctions aimed at persons and economic sectors. Furthermore, export bans have been put in place on dual-use goods, for various high-tech goods and for particular machines used in sectors such as aeronautics and aerospace, shipping and the oil industry. It is important to note that – beyond this – trading with Russia in and of itself has not yet been restricted by sanctions. As the USA has shown with its oil embargo, further restrictions cannot be ruled out, especially import bans. Therefore, companies that wish to continue delivering to Russia need to carefully assess whether business can still be done with the companies concerned and whether the goods and services concerned are subject to import or export bans.
German companies with a high level of energy imports are, in particular, being severely impacted by the imposition of sanctions and countersanctions. The situation will become more acute if additional sanctions relating to oil or even gas deliveries are put in place. The high energy costs would result in competitive distortions and thus in decreasing export levels.
Furthermore, in order to effectively limit Russia’s space for financial maneuvering, selected financial institutions have been cut off from international cash flows by locking them out of the SWIFT system.